Elon Musk has been promising Tesla robotaxis for over a decade, and while there have been many bold predictions and missed deadlines, there are some recent developments worth noting:
- Upcoming Event: Tesla is set to unveil the design of its autonomous cabs at an event on October 10, 20241. This event is highly anticipated, with Musk expected to reveal a prototype called the “Cybercab” and share the latest advancements in Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology.
- Technology and Strategy: Tesla’s approach to autonomous driving relies heavily on a neural network that learns from video data collected from its fleet of 2.2 million cars. This method is different from competitors like Waymo, which uses machine learning to train cars to recognize road signs and pedestrians.
- Market Competition: While Tesla has been working on its robotaxi technology, competitors like Waymo, Zoox, and Pony.ai have already launched commercial robotaxi services in various cities. This puts pressure on Tesla to deliver a viable product soon.
- Skepticism and Challenges: Despite the hype, there are still many unanswered questions about the readiness of Tesla’s technology and how a robotaxi business would operate. Regulatory hurdles, especially for vehicles without steering wheels or pedals, remain a significant challenge.
After a decade of Elon Musk promising Tesla robotaxis, here’s what we know
For a decade, Elon Musk has championed the idea that one day Tesla cars will drive themselves as robotaxis. Next week, the company will unveil the design of its autonomous cabs.
Despite years of bold predictions and missed deadlines, fans of the company are holding out hope that Musk will finally deliver at an Oct. 10 event. Regardless of what the company showcases at its robotaxi day, experts are skeptical of the company’s strategy, citing its Auotpilot and FSD technology as a barometer for Tesla’s progress, or lack thereof.
In the decade that Musk has promised driverless vehicles, competitors have made them.
AlphabetP: owned Waymo already operates a commercial robotaxi service in several U.S. cities, surpassing 100,000 paid rides per week as of August.
Amazon: owned Zoox began testing rides for employees in February 2023 with ambitions to launch its own robotaxi service. In China, Pony.ai and Baidu are running commercial robotaxi services too.
The market could be lucrative. In one bullish estimate, Raymond James predicts $50 billion in annual robotaxi bookings by 2030.
With U.S. EV sales growth slowing, there’s a lot riding on Tesla’s potential pivot to autonomy.
Watch the video to see the road Tesla has taken to realizing its robotaxi ambitions.
Will Tesla Robotaxis Live Up To 10 Years Of Development And Hype?